Posted by Dr Fro 6:20 PM
My March Madness post from March 25 reminded me of a poker phenomenon. In my March Madness example, 32 other guys each filled out a bracket that, on its own, had a lower EV than yours. However, collectively, they created a situation that decreased your EV significantly. Since all EV sums to zero, they share the EV you gave up, with many/most/all of them flipping from negative to positive EV (at least one must flip).
In poker, this same situation is referred to as "the schooling of the fish" and it happens all the time in 3-6-12 no foldem holdem. It is discussed at an excellent resource that I suggest you read.
I have a mathematical example to illustrate this, which will be in my next post
Random thoughts from a lawyer, an accountant, a commodities trader, an ex-Marine and a WSOP Main Event money finisher that don't know as much as they wish they did...