Posted by Dr Fro 2:10 PM
I was doing some analysis on my poker success and failures over the past 3 years. I looked at the chart and came to the following conclusions:

- Up until late 2003, the Total Success tracked my success in cardrooms pretty closely, then it followed my success in home games after that. This isn't surprising. In the UK, I played mainly in cardrooms and only had a little penny ante game at home. However, after moving back to H-town, the popularity of poker in homes (and the stakes in home games) skyrocketed.

- The pink line, tournament success, slowly dips down with only two big jumps - a big score in an Aberdeen tournament and a very big score at the same place. Other than that, it has steadly declined since late 2002. It has been 1.5 years since I won a penny in a tournament. Interestingly, I have been "on the bubble" more times than I can count in that same timeframe. Something needs to be done to fix my tournament woes.

- I was pleasantly surprised to see my cardroom success as positive. With that horrible rake at the Top Hat, it is hard to stay above water.

- You'll notice that my analysis starts with an arse-raping at the London Victoria Grosvner (the "Vic") the first week of January 2002. That one hurt. Had I started my analysis one week later, it would have been prettier.

- There is a nice $1,600 jump from $2.6k to $4.2k in late Feb 2004. That was a nice result and I had assumed that it would single-handedly skew the overall results. It does not. It does, hoever, disguise a certain trend in home games...

- ... it hides the fact that from Novembe 2003 to today, I am break-even in home games if you ignore the $1.6k score. This tells me that something has changed and I can only attribute it to the rising skill level of the competition I face. The ESPN-boom was profitable for many of us initially, but the guys have either a) gotten killed and quit or b) wised up and improved. Either way, the easy pickins that were once everywhere are a bit harder to find these days.

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