Posted by Dr Fro 3:40 PM
Friday was fun. I won $310, but the kitty was short by $28, so I only took home $282. A breakdown of a few hands and other topics:
Morry: Morry goes all-in pre-flop and I call him. I had A9o. My thought was that the best hand I put him on was KK, and I thought that I was getting proper odds (a little worse than 2:1) when you consider the other hands he may hold and the possibility that he was bluffing. When he showed me AJ, I said “oh sheet.” I was dominated. The first card to hit the board was a 9, and I took the pot. I was anxious to get home and compare how much worse off I was against AJ than KK. I learned that I had a 27% chance of winning against AJ and a 28% chance against the pair (some odds against KK, QQ, JJ, TT). This surprised me. A 1% difference?
Back to the call. The pocket pair was the best I thought he held. For instance, I could see him moving on me with KQs. He knows I will play with some trash hands, so it would not be wrong for him to go all in with KQs. KQs is a slight underdong (45%) to A9o. If you say there is a 50/50 chance that he holds high suited connectors versus high pocket pair, then I win heads up 36.5% of the time. I only need to win 33% of the time, as I was getting around 2:1 pot odds. Thus, based on my assessment of his hand, I considered myself a favorite. Of course, once I saw his hand, I knew I had the worst of it. Then I got very lucky and caught that 9.
Dry side pot. The board was AKKxx, Kim was all in on the turn and Junell and I were still left. The pot was large, around $250. All I had was an Ace and a busted flush, so I figured I was dead to Kim. I checked, as did Mark and Kim took the pot with quads. Here’s what I did wrong. I should have bet around $25 into the side pot. Junell probably had a small piece of the board and would be willing to call on the end for 1 green chip. I missed an opportunity to subsidize the loss I suffered in the main pot.
Etiquette I happen to think it is rude to say you are coming to a poker game and then flake. We had too many guys for one table and too few for two tables. It sucked playing shorthanded. Nicky’s mom had surgery and that is perfectly acceptable. A few others simply no-showed. Please don’t do that, as we try to get 14-16 players or 8 players. When we end up with 11, it sucks.
ScotchScotch went on the luckiest tear of the evening. I am completely speechless on the subject.
Chicks with DecksGuys, I am not sure if you have noticed, but Kim has won several times in a row now. I think she knows what she is doing.
Random thoughts from a lawyer, an accountant, a commodities trader, an ex-Marine and a WSOP Main Event money finisher that don't know as much as they wish they did...