Posted by Junelli 10:38 AM
Last night I played $2-$5 PL at Northside. I bought in for $500 and after an hour I was up about $150. There are 2 notable hands from the evening.

After 1 hour of play, I got popped on the button with AA (with one heart). 5 people limp in for $5. I raise to $20 and get 3 callers. The flop is 3 rags, but all hearts (952). I have an overpair with the nut flush draw. The first 2 players check and the cutoff seat goes all-in for $45. I decide that calling is not an option since I would be giving the other 2 players odds to call with potential draws and beat my strong hand. I raise the pot for $210 more (making it $255 straight to the 2 players that initially checked). My goal was to eliminate those 2 players and and get heads up with the all-in. Unfortunately it didn't work out like I'd hoped.

The player behind me moved all-in for $170 more (making it $425 straight). The next player to his left went all-in for less (~$150), and I now have to call $170 into a pot that's now $915 (of which, I've already committed $265).

I fully expect for someone to have already flopped the flush, but there's a chance they may be on a draw (for a straight flush or a big flush). And I have an overpair (AA) with the nut flush draw. The pot is laying me approx 5:1 odds, and I have a 2:1 chance of hitting the nut-flush (with two cards to come).

However, if I assume they have the flush already, then several of my outs could be gone. If 2 of the players have already made the flush, there would only be 5 hearts left (21% chance or 4:1). If only one has it I may have 6 or 7 outs twice (25% chance or 3:1).

I think about it for a minute and decide that the pot is just too big and the odds are too good (if a heart comes I stand to win $1,085). I feel compelled to call fully expecting at least one player (and hopefully not both players) to have already made a flush.

I call the last $170. Total pot size $1,085 (Main pot $275, 1st Side Pot = $450, 2nd side pot = $460).

The original all-in (short-stack) turned over A9 for TPTK (no hearts). The other two players both had the flush (Q3 and KT). I have 4 outs and try to barter a deal with the Q high player (because he was the one who I matched for all his money), but he doesn't accept.

Two diamonds come and the King high flush takes $725, while the Q high takes $460. The Q high is an asshole who is notorious for hit-and-runs. I've played with him a dozen times, and he's never played more than 45 minutes. If he loses a little (~$100) he'll leave and if he hits a big score, he'll immediately cash out. Of course, he cashed out 5 hands later.

I still have some chips, and slowly grind my way back up. Later I hold A2 in the SB and flop the wheel. There are 2 other players in the pot. I manage to get both players all-in to win an $875 pot, and ultimately finish the night with a $300 profit.

2 Comment(s):

Posted by  Dr Fro, at 6:00 PM, February 03, 2005  

You were a 4.32:1 underdog and getting > 5:1 odds. A good call.


Also smart that you deducted from your outs the hearts they clearly held. I used to not do that.

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Posted by  Dr Fro, at 2:42 PM, February 05, 2005  

You said (and I used in my calc's) 4 outs. But I count 5...

3 on board
1 in your hand
2 in 1 guys hand
2 in another guys hand

= 8. 13-8=5.

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