Posted by Dr Fro 3:18 PM

Yesterday:

It took me a while to understand Party Poker's stats. "Hands played" is easy. It is every hand where you are dealt cards. "Hands won" is simple, too. FYI, it counts heads-up split pots between the blinds as a win, but obviously you lose a few cents due to the rake.

"Showdowns won" is wierd. If there is no showdown, there is no impact on this stat - like a walk not affecting your batting average. The wierd bit is that if you get all in before the showdown, it counts it as if there is no showdown - win or lose, the stat is unaffected. This explains why I was at 100% even though I played this hand: I went all in on the flop of AQT with QT and got called by AK. OK, I win unless he gets a Jack. Guess what he got? He then typed in "sucker" in the chat box. Nice touch. Anyway, the point is that the stats still said that I won 100% of showdowns.

"Flops seen" is straightforward but misleading. PokerTrackers uses a stat called "voluntarily put money into play" that makes more sense. PP's "Flops seen" includes everytime you check with the the big blind. Last night we played with app 7 players most of the time. With very little preflop action, I saw basically every single flop from the BB. This accounts for 14% of the flops I saw. This means that I saw 37% of the flops when not in the BB. This is still high (AA, KK 3 times, QQ twice JJ twice - very nice hands) but not as high as the 46% would lead you to believe.

"Flops seen" also excludes hands where you raised pre-flop and everyone folded. I think it is misleading to exclude this as you clearly wanted to see the flop, but nobody would see it with you. This effect is quite small because nobody folds on PP.

"Winning % if flop seen" is self explanatory.

I have been keeping all these stats on myself and have seen some interesting patterns - patterns that poker software has been telling me all along. I am too loose pre-flop, too tight on the flop, about right on the turn and a bit tight (but extremely aggressive) on the river. Fisrt of all, if you find my old post about "Junell house strategy" this description fits JHS like a glove. The 100% of showdowns won actually happens for me quite regularly - I am typically betting a ton on the river or folding. When I fold, it doesn't count as a loss. When I bet a ton, it is usually because I have a very good hand and therefore win.

Winning 18% of the hands you play is very good for a table with 7 players. Of course, in NL, it matters more what happens on just a few hands than what % you won. For me, it really came down to one hand that I completely misplayed. I had 99 and there was a big preflop raise. I wasnt freakin thinking and I decided to move all in.

99 is a is 56% favorite to Big Slick (and most big unpaired big cards). So, assuming he doesn't have a big pair, I win 56% if he calls. Add in the fact that oft he will fold and I will the pot right there. If I am certain he doesnt have AA-TT, it is the right move. Even if he does have KK-TT, he may put me on AA and fold, but don't count on that - especially on PP.

Well, he had AA, which made him an 80% favorite. I completely dropped the ball by doing my math with the assumption that he did not have a big pair. It was late and I was tired and I got sloppy. I should have called pre-flop and run away when the flop didn't help. Stupid stupid stupid. And I sooo know better than that! Lesson: go to bed if you aren't at 100%. In NL holdem, 1 mistake can wipe out hours of good decisions. The good news is that since I was all-in pre-flop, it didnt hurt my "showdowns won %"! ;-)

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