Posted by Dr Fro 12:36 PM
***** Hand History for Game 1895158079 *****
$50 NL Hold'em - Thursday, April 14, 19:25:08 EDT 2005
Table Table 37248 (Real Money)
Seat 6 is the button
Total number of players : 10
Seat 2: MadDog_13 ( $131.85 )
Seat 3: jdb4_4 ( $40.25 )
Seat 4: dcroberts ( $57.45 )
Seat 9: pI0l232IOlp ( $55.7 )
Seat 7: phreaux ( $44.3 )
Seat 6: clayen ( $35.65 )
Seat 1: Cardbert911 ( $29.3 )
Seat 8: Limper_ ( $46 )
Seat 5: Nereid ( $22.25 )
Seat 10: hwpark ( $64.7 )
phreaux posts small blind [$0.25].
Limper_ posts big blind [$0.5].
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to phreaux [ 7c 6c ] I like middle suited connectors, especially on the button, SB, BB and love them with many limpers. See Super System
hwpark calls [$0.5].
phreaux calls [$0.25]. I told myself that I wanted at least 2 limpers, but oh well, it's 25c
Limper_ raises [$0.5].
** Dealing Flop ** [ 6d, 5d, 2c ]
phreaux bets [$1]. you bet! Top pair on such a ragged board, I might win this thing right here. With 2-3 players from the SB, I will lead out everytime I see a ragged board.
Limper_ raises [$2].
phreaux calls [$1]. His raise could mean just about anything, and for $1 into a $4.50 pot, I'll pay for another card
** Dealing Turn ** [ 8c ]
phreaux bets [$2]. I likie that 8c. Now I have a flush draw (probably the only one with a flush draw) for 9 outs, plus a straight draw for an additional 6 outs, plus 2 other 6's for trips = 17 outs. But I may have best hand here if he is playing with overs.
Limper_ raises [$4].
phreaux calls [$2]. I am sensing a pattern here with his raises and it doesn't make sense. If he has a big hand, why is he giving me pot odds? If he has a bad hand, surely he can't expect to run me off with such a small bet.
** Dealing River ** [ Kc ]
phreaux checks. You bet I check, and I will explain this below.
Limper_ bets [$20].
phreaux is all-In [$37.3]
Limper_ calls [$17.3].
Limper_ shows [ Kd, Ad ] a pair of kings.
phreaux shows [ 7c, 6c ] a flush, king high.
phreaux wins $86.6 from the main pot with a flush, king high.
So why did I check? Well here are the possible scenarios and appropriate strategy:
1. All along he had a somewhat made hand with a draw possiblity. Example: Ac6c. Here he flops top pair, top kicker, with an outside chance at a flush. The way he bet the turn (and to a lesser extent, the way he bet the flop) would evidence this possibility. I am dead meat if he has this hand and I bet. I will get raised and be faced with a difficult decision. Of course if I check and he bets, I am in a very similiar situation, albeit for less money
2. He has crap and checks. I am out nothing by checking because he folds if I bet.
3. He has crap and bluffs. Now I just made money, assuming that he folds if I bet.
4. (what really happened) He held a king. I scare him off with a bet and the flush showing. By checking, I induce the bet and make money. Fortunately, he bet enough that he was really forced to call all-in to my raise.
So under scenarios 2-4, I am much better off by checking. Under scenario 1, I am slightly better off by checking.
Conclusion, although the pre-flop call was not brilliant (5:1 pot odds on suited connectors is ok from another position, but not from the SB), I think I played the river perfectly. What do you think?