Monday, June 13, 2005


Posted by Junelli 9:22 AM
Probability Guide


Pocket pair improving to three of a kind on flop - 12%, 1 in 8, 7:1
No pair hand preflop improving to a pair on the flop (either card) - 32%, 1 in 3.125, ~2:1.
If you have suited cards, two will flop - 11%, 1 in 9, 8:1
One pair on flop improving to two pair or three of a kind by river - 22%, 1 in 4.7, ~4:1
Pocket pair improving to three of a kind after flop - 9%, 1 in 11, 10:1
Two over cards improving to a pair by river - 26%, 1 in 3.9, ~3:1
Two over cards and a gutshot improving to pair or straight - 43%, 1 in 2.3, 4:3
Gutshot straight draw hitting by river - 17%, 1 in 6, 5:1
Gutshot and pair improving to two pair or better - 39%, 1 in 2.6, 3:2
Backdoor Flush hitting (5s6s Flop 7sAh9c KsJs) - 4%, 1 in 24, 23:1
Runner Runner Straight (56 Flop 3TQ 47) - 1.5%, 1 in 68, 67:1
Backdoor Flush and One Over Card improving to that pair or flush - 17%, 1 in 6, 5:1
Catching Ace on turn or river (A4 Flop Q63 KA) - 13%, 1 in 8, 7:1
Backdoor Flush and Gutshot improving to one by river (Ac4c Flop 3s5cKs) - 21%, 1 in 4.8, 3.8:1
Backdoor Flush And Two Over Cards improving to pair or flush - 30%, 1 in 3.3, 2.3:1
5 players on flop, that someone has an A when one is on board 58%, 1 in 1.7
4 players on flop, that someone has an A when one is on board 47%, 1 in 2.1
3 players on flop, that someone has an A when one is on board 35%, 1 in 2.9
2 players on flop, that someone has an A when one is on board 23%, 1 in 4.3
3 of one suit on board and another coming (QsTs2s) if you have one, 39%, 1 in 2.6, 3:2
5 players in with board paired, chance of one of them having it 43%, 1 in 2.4
4 players in with board paired, chance of one of them having it 34%, 1 in 3
3 players in with board paired, chance of one of them having it 26%, 1 in 4
2 players in with board paired, chance of one of them having it 17%, 1 in 5.8

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