Posted by Dr Fro 3:32 PM
Last night I played 4 hours of poker at Jackie's. I bought in for $300, had a high water mark of $540, cashed out at $330. I have to say that I am proud of myself for cashing out because a year ago I would have played until I lost it all. I can leave a winner now, and I like that, even when it isn't much of a winner.

The key hand was one where I was heads-up against a guy that I had quite a read on. He had played lots of hands and always aggressively. He raised pre-flop 6x the BB, which I had seen him do with 33 through 88. The one time he had Aces, he raised 3x the BB. So, I thought I was up against 88 or worse. I had 9hTh on the button. You may question why I called, but I was so confident that I knew what he had, I was certain that I could call with anything at all. The flop brought an Ace, 2 hearts and a little bit of betting. On the turn, a 9 came giving me a pair and a draw to the flush. Since I thought he had 88 or worse. I considered myself to be ahead. So, when he bet $210 into a $120 pot, I was certain he was trying to run me off. I called anc caught a third 9 on the river. He showed A8.

The table went apeshit, saying that I was lucky, blah, blah, blah. "You hit a 2-outer!" one guy said. I disagreed with everybody's analysis at the table, as it failed to consider any of the below:
1. Nobody mentioned that I had a flush draw too, 9 outs.
2. Nobody mentioned that in addition to the two 9's, there were three 10's in the deck that would help me.
3. Nobody mentioned that I was on the button, a very nice place to be when heads-up.
4. Nobody mentioned the fact that he was seeing 90% of the flops and raising every time.
5. Nobody mentioned that he raised 6x the BB with only A8, a horrible play.
6. Nobody mentioned that he bet almost twice the pot, a fairly good indicator that he is bluffing. A pot-sized bet would be more appropriate for pairing the Ace.

The above should have been obvious to them, but the final part of the analysis was my biggest reason for calling:

7. I thought he had a baby pair, so I thought I was actually ahead. Of course, it turns out that I was wrong about that!

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Here's a little something for your Christmas list. I heard KTL has already made his order.

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Did anybody catch the WSOP episode where Raymer got eliminated? I have a lot of respect for him. Obviously the results speak for themselves, but it is also clear from interviews as well as his table chatter that he knows what he is doing. That said, I was surprised that he told his opponent that "he was worried about quad Kings." I guess that should be taken to mean he boated up, but it also tells his opponent that he didn't have a king. It seemed not only unnecessary to say anything, it appeared to me that it was instrumental to his opponent's call, which knocked Raymer out.

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Some college football notes:

1. The announcers tried to pretend that the fans at Folsom Field throwing crap on the field were outliers. This is untrue. Colorado fans, particularly their students, are the worst fans in the Big 12. If I had a penny for every story I have heard about a Colorado fan being violent or throwing things, I'd be a rich man.

2. When things get really bad in College Station, the shit hits the fans. There was an artist's rendition of it on Hornfans:

And since these pictures are on the internet, they must be true. (sorry, KTL & Padilla! )

3. Colorado tried their best to avoid the Longhorns in Houston, but Fatty McFatpants managed to beat ISU and send CU. Archie Manning said it best, "Colorado shouldn't go. If the Big XII North sent an all-star team to Houston, UT still would win.

4. Mark May used to really bug me, but I have actually come around on him. I think that sitting next to Assclown Alberts made him stupid by osmosis. Evidently sitting next to Lou Holtz had the opposite effect.

5. Stanford plays their last game at Stanford Stadium today. That is sad. Not only is it an excellent venue, it is where Jane agreed to marry me. (I proposed the night before and she said that she would only if we won the following night. We lost, but she agreed anyway.)

6. If you Tivo'd the UT - A&M game, rewind to shortly after the final 4th down of A&M's. There will be a long part where the camera is on VY and then it quickly goes to the UT cheerleaders for about 2 seconds. I won't ruin it for you, but trust me, you will pitch tent.

7. If you are going to the Big XII Championship and want to tailgate with us, comment below.

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We had a great vacation. I netted about +$1,000 in 3 trips to the casinos. Oh yeah, we also saw a lot of old stuff. The highlight was seeing Don Giovanni (Mozart) in Prague, where it premiered. I also finally finished my book, The Prize, which may be the best book I have ever read.

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