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Wednesday, February 22, 2006
Posted by Padilla 8:41 PM
Sorry to hijack, but...........
I was just dealt K-K in consecutive hands during a tournament.
1st one doubled me up. 2nd one flopped a set and knocked out an opponent holding A-A. (he never saw it coming)
Let's disregard the amazing A-A coincidence and get to the meat of it.... What genius knows the probability of being dealt the exact same hand 2 times in a row. (if you say 50-50, your level of comedic humor will be revealed)
No, I did not hit the same suits on hand #2.
p.s. I lost the damn tourney. I hate Turbo's and accidentally registered for it. Those Pokerstars titles are too long, I didn't notice it.
There are other regular contributors/readers here who know this stuff better than me, but the odds of being dealt a specific pocket pair (eg AA, KK, QQ, 33, etc) on any hand is roughly 0.45% ([(4/52) x (3/51)]), or 220:1, so the odds of it happening on consecutive hands would be (0.45%)^2, or 0.00205% or 48840:1.
No?
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And the odds of winning both of them are 99 trillion to 1.
If it weren't for luck...
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true, getting a particular hand consecuutively is (1/221)^2.
But getting any pair in consecutive hands (which would have been labeled equally amazing) is 13 times more likely.
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