Posted by Johnnymac 9:06 AM
And now the second installment of weekly football picks. Last week's method of picking 5 college and 5 pro seemed to work OK so I'll do that again and then make a mention of anything else I happen to like. Again, these are not necessarily the games I'll be betting on, these are just some spreads that I like.

Now an update on actual betting results so far this year:

College betting: 4-1-0
College pickem pool: 26-11-1
Pro betting: 4-0
Pro pickem ("Snyder") pool: 20-12; money picks: 5-5



This week's picks:


College:

Louisville -14 at KANSAS ST
I thought this one was a typo when I saw it. I agree that UL might stumble a little bit after the big win against Miami, but only giving 14 points here is a steal. This team can move the football and score and I don't think K State will be able to keep up.

MICHIGAN -14 vs Wisconsin
Michigan is on a roll and I just don't see Wisconsin staying close. As much as I think Notre Dame is overrated this year, they're still better than Wisconsin and Michigan went on the road and beat the Domers by 26. Now, to be fair, the Michigan guy here at work is adament that the Wolverines will come out flat and that Wisconsin "always plays tough" at Michigan. He is so adament that we're probably going to actually wager on the game if he can get past his hangup of betting against his beloved team from Ann Arbor. Now you have both sides, but I'm still going with Michigan.

OHIO STATE -16.5 vs Penn State
There may be a little bit of my anti-Penn State bias here, but Penn State is terrible and lost by 24 the last time they went on the road against a decent opponent. Ohio State is much much better than Notre Dame, so why should we expect them to have a harder time against a common opponent?

HOUSTON +1 vs Oklahoma State
This is the best UH team in at least 10 years and I think this game means more to the Cougars than to Okie Lite. Plus, it's always good to be getting points at home.

MICHIGAN ST +3.5 vs Notre Dame
Getting points at home against a team that is still overrated and got torched by a good QB last week. ND is not that good, people, no matter how cute you think Brady Quinn may be.


Other teams I like this week (but didn't pick for this post): North Carolina, NORTH CAROLINA ST, GEORGIA, Connecticut, AKRON, MISSOURI

Pro:

Chicago -3.5 at MINNESOTA
The Bears are good. Minnesota won't score more than 10 points and the Bears will score at least 14.

Baltimore -6.5 at CLEVELAND
I will continue to keep picking Baltimore until the point that they play a good team. (Which will be next week against San Diego, btw)

NEW ORLEANS +3.5 vs Atlanta
This is going to be a hugely emotional game for the Saints. Atlanta's defense has been really good so far but they also have not played any offenses as good as the Saints' yet, either. I like New Orleans getting points at home.

INDIANAPOLIS -7 vs Jacksonville
OK, now we see how legitimate Jacksonville is. They were lucky to be playing two shaky QB's at home in their first two games, but now they get Mr. September Peyton Manning on the road. 12 points definitely won't be enough to win or to cover, especially since Matt Jones is hurt.

NEW ENGLAND -7 vs Denver
You don't think that Bill Belichick will have these guys ready? The Pats are dying for revenge from last January and Denver can't score more than 10 points in a game.

ESPN Suicide Pick: MIAMI

Other teams I like this week (but didn't pick for this post): MIAMI, SAN FRANCISCO

1 Comment(s):

Posted by  Dr Fro, at 2:08 PM, September 22, 2006  

I flipped THREE of my picks to conform to your picks.

Do me good, sir

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