My God, this was bloody. I got a bad feeling on Saturday when both Michigan and Virginia Tech struggled in the first half of their respective early games and when the pro games were done on Sunday it was World War I style carnage. Here we go.
This weeks actual wagers:
OHIO STATE -16.5 vs Penn State WIN $10 MICHIGAN -14 vs Wisconsin PUSH $10 VIRGINIA TECH -27.5 vs Cincinnati LOSE -$10
Chicago -3.5 at MINNESOTA LOSE -$25 Chicago -3.5 at MINNESOTA LOSE -$10 SAN FRANCISCO +6 vs Philadelphia LOSE -$25 SAN FRANCISCO +6 vs Philadelphia LOSE -$20 SAN FRANCISCO +6 vs Philadelphia LOSE -$10
(yes, I loaded up on the biggest loser of the weekend… ouch)
Pickem pool results:
Yahoo College Pickem 9-11-1 (The weekly leader in our group went only 12-8-1, so there wasn’t a lot of ground lost)
Snyder Pool (before Monday night) 2-12; money picks 0-5
Season results:
College betting: 5-2-1 College pickem pool: 35-22-2 Pro betting: 4-5 Pro pickem ("Snyder") pool: 22-23
Last week's blog picks
College: (4-0-1 this week, 8-1-1 overall)
Louisville -14 at KANSAS ST CORRECT They didn’t blow K-State off the field like I thought they would, but it was still an easy cover. I guess there is a difference between the backup QB and RB and the starters, but not much of one.
MICHIGAN -14 vs Wisconsin PUSH Before the Longhorn game on Sunday my brother and I were hanging out in the End Zone Club pounding Coors Lights and watching the end of the early games. The place was full of Longhorn Fans and most of them naturally were disappointed that a promising Michigan loss (which they were all rooting for due to poll considerations) had slipped away. You could tell the gamblers, though, because they were intently watching Michigan kick a FG to cover with 5 minutes left and then watched and cheered and moaned just as intently as Wisconsin put together its only scoring drive of the second half to force the push. I was forced to drink another beer after having to watch that.
OHIO STATE -16.5 vs Penn State CORRECT I am lucky that Ohio State pulled the backdoor cover here with two INT’s for touchdowns in the closing minutes or this week would have been even worse. Pure luck that I didn’t lose this one, too.
HOUSTON +1 vs Oklahoma State CORRECT About the only pick this weekend that I can be proud of. The Cougars had a heck of a home crowd behind them and just seemed to play harder in the 4th quarter. I was especially impressed with how well the UH defense played in the second half. Once Okie Lite got behind and it started raining, they gave up.
MICHIGAN ST +3.5 vs Notre Dame CORRECT On Sunday morning I was faced with the dilemma of counting this one as correct, since I did take the deciding half point on Thursday before the line went to 3, or as incorrect, since I felt the burning disappointment of watching the ND lovers react as if they had actually won the game instead of having it handed to them by a Spartan team that gave up after being up 17 points in the third quarter. I was very disappointed in this game, mostly because I hate all of those long-haired cocky prep-school looking punks who play for Notre Dame and because I hate their fans. Now, considering how my Sunday turned out, I’m keeping this one as a win. I was offered three points on an actual wager on Friday and turned it down because I was holding out for the 3.5 and now that looks like a genius move. That is enough for me to count this one as a win.
Pro (0-5 this week, 2-8 overall)
Chicago -3.5 at MINNESOTA INCORRECT Of course, the half point cuts in the other direction, too. Minnesota’s side of it worked out about the way I figured it would, but the Bears’ offense was mostly a no-show with a bunch of field goals and one long TD to clinch the game in the fourth quarter.
Baltimore -6.5 at CLEVELAND INCORRECT Ditto. Baltimore played just good enough to win it in the fourth quarter, but the defense seemed to still be at the hotel until the third quarter started.
SAN FRANCISCO +6 vs Philadelphia INCORRECT Well, I was wrong. Philly showed up to play and I didn’t think they would. The long fumble recovery for a TD just as the Niners were about to make it interesting was the game breaker. This one hurt. After watching this game I am of the opinion that I love Alex Smith, but I’ll be careful about betting on him anytime soon. (Also, if you're paying attention, yes, I should have stuck with my Saints pick from last week... I outsmarted myself in switching to this game)
INDIANAPOLIS -7 vs Jacksonville INCORRECT Again, pick the winner and give too many points to avoid a back-door with less than 4 minutes left in the game.
NEW ENGLAND -7 vs Denver INCORRECT No excuses here. Denver just flat took it to these guys. It has been a long time since I have seen the Pats get so totally beaten in a game. A big part of my original analysis here was coaching and Mike Shanahan absolutely outcoached Bill Belichick.
This weekend’s picks are coming on Thursday, and it can’t come soon enough.
Random thoughts from a lawyer, an accountant, a commodities trader, an ex-Marine and a WSOP Main Event money finisher that don't know as much as they wish they did...