Posted by Johnnymac 9:01 AM
Here is the first installment of weekly football picks. The games below are the ones I really like - I will try and pick 5 college and 5 pro each week - but not necessarily the games I'll be betting because some of these are so obvious I can't possibly expect someone else to give me action.

For what it's worth, I do this for entertainment, not to make money and not because I have a problem that needs a fix of sweat and adrenaline that only a $1000 3 team teaser can provide. This year, I am participating in the usual pro pickem $20 "Snyder" pool (mentioned here before) where every pro game is picked each week in a somewhat convoluted wagering structure (that won't be explained here) and I am also participating in a college pickem pool at work ($20 for the whole season) where most of the Top 25 college games are picked each week, too. Like I said, I am a low-roller, this is for fun.

Here are my actual betting results so far this year:

Week 1:

TEXAS -28 vs north tx WIN +$20
TEXAS -28 vs north tx WIN +$10

College pickem pool: 15/21

Week 2:

UCLA -30 vs Rice LOSE -$10
philadelphia -5 at HOUSTON WIN +$10
DETROIT +6.5 vs Seattle WIN +$10
san diego -2.5 at OAKLAND WIN +$5 (this was one of the easiest picks ever)

College pickem pool: 0/22 (I forgot to make my picks and didn't realize that there are no default picks... but you drop your lowest week so I might be OK)

Snyder (Pro) Pool: 8/16 overall, 2/5 "money picks" (I said it was convoluted)

ESPN Suicide Pool (free): Chicago WIN



And here are this week's picks. Like I said, I don't necessarily have any action on these games outside of the football pools. The 5 college games are the ones where I like the spread the best, the pro picks will always be my "money picks" from the Snyder Pool.


College:

OHIO STATE -30 vs Cincinnatti
Ohio State looked good on Saturday night in Austin. If they are for real then they should win this kind of game huge, and if they don't win this huge, then I am really worried about the Longhorns.

TENNESSEE +3.5 vs Florida
The Vols showed up two weeks ago when they were home dogs.

Nebraska +19 at USC
This seems like the kind of game where USC comes out flat and then plays catch up and wins going away - see last year's games against Oregon, Fresno, and Arizona State for a preview of what I think is going to happen on Saturday. I do think the Trojans will wind end up winning here but the new clock rules simply won't give them time to pull away by 19 points.

Miami +4.5 at LOUISVILLE
Louisville hasn't beaten Miami in 11 years, its star running back is out with a broken leg, and Miami is 7th nationally in defense and hasn't given up many points.

TCU +1.5 vs Texas Tech
This one sticks out at me and I can't quite figure out why. Oh yeah, TCU is a very good team with a perpetual grudge against the Big Boys that is playing at home and getting points. They beat OU on the road last year, I think Tech at home will be easier than that.


Pro:

MIAMI -6.5 vs Buffalo
Ronnie Brown is all they've really got on offense, though. (Don't tell me about Daunte Culpepper until he actually does something)

BALTIMORE -12 vs Oakland
Aaron Brooks?

ATLANTA -6 vs Tampa Bay
Atlanta has a better defense this year than many people give it credit for; Tampa didn't score any points and now Cadillac has a bad back.

INDIANAPOLIS -13.5 vs Houston
New coach, same results.

Pittsburgh +1.5 at JACKSONVILLE
Did I miss the part about Drew Bledsoe getting traded to the Steelers?

ESPN Suicide Pick: BALTIMORE

1 Comment(s):

Posted by  Dr Fro, at 10:57 PM, September 14, 2006  

Interesting, Miami, NU and Tennessee are my 3 big picks.

But re: OSU, I don't disagree, I just stay away from potential "emotional letdown games"

Re: TCU v Tech, I don't bet on Div II-A.

__________________________________________________

Post a Comment