Posted by Johnnymac 12:11 AM
Here are this week's football picks. I am sorry they are late and I'm about to go to bed so I can get up early and go catch the drunks downstairs, so the writeup will be a little bit brief. All of the lines below are the Venetian lines (where we're staying) as of tonight.
College:
Missouri -1.5 at TEXAS A&M I am all over the tigers here.
WISCONSIN -9.5 vs Minnesota Wisconsin is playing great right now and rolling along.
Army +5.5 at CONNECTICUT I just have a feeling that UConn is being given too much credit here.
Iowa State +19.5 at OKLAHOMA I think ISU will score 17 points here, I don't see the Sooners scoring more than 35 to cover. In fact, I think Iowa State can win this game, so it's consistent with my #1 betting rule of college football wagering.
PENN STATE +7 vs Michigan I think Penn State wins this game outright.
Pro: Tennnessee +9.5 at WASHINGTON Vince Young is getting better every week and the Titans are due for a win. I think they win this one outright, too.
ST LOUIS +3.5 vs Seattle I am starting to be a believer in the Rams. Are you?
ATLANTA -3 vs NEW YORK GIANTS I like Atlanta after the bye week. The Giants have not been good away from home.
DETROIT +1 vs Buffalo I think Detroit gets win #1 this weekend, Roy Williams status notwithstanding. Why? Because Kevin Jones will be the difference here, just like the Bears running game last week.
DALLAS -13.5 vs Houston Carr will get his yards and TD's in the 4th quarter when the Cowboys are up by 28.
(One aside: since I am in Vegas this weekend and can make more bets than the usual point spread on the whole game, I really like betting against the JETS (vs the Dolphins) in the first half. The Jets have not scored AT ALL in the first quarter all year. )
I am back and will post a followup later today or tomorrow. The only ones of these college picks that I actually wagered on were Mizzou (loss) and Wisconsin (big win), plus I played Army in a 6 team parlay that lost. That said, I also bet on a LOT more games than just the ones mentioned here and managed to hit nearly every single one of them. I was also up big (relatively speaking) playing $4-8 limit all weekend, didn't play no limit once and didn't really miss it. Probably my best Vegas trip ever, as far as winning money. More details to come.
Random thoughts from a lawyer, an accountant, a commodities trader, an ex-Marine and a WSOP Main Event money finisher that don't know as much as they wish they did...