Posted by Johnnymac 7:47 PM
Week 6/Round 4 football picks. Got back on the good side of things last week, but not by much. As far as tonight's games, I liked Florida State before kickoff (whew) and for some strange reason I think Utah will blow out TCU, so naturally I like the -2. As always, the Thursday night games as for humorous purposes only.

Actual betting results so far this year:

College betting: 10-3-2
College pickem pool: 42-32-3
Pro betting: 5-5
Pro pickem ("Snyder") pool: 30-30; money picks: 8-12



This week's picks:


College:
(no Big Ten this week, ACC instead)

WAKE +15.5 vs Clemson
Undefeated team playing at home with an underrated defense against an overrated offense. Clemson is a tough team this year, but not by more than two touchdowns in this game.

Rice -2.5 at TULANE
Chase Clement is back and the oddsmakers don't seem to realize that. Plus, they're coached by some guy named 'Applewhite' and he's a gamer.

GEORGIA TECH -13.5 vs Marlyland
Some people see a hangover. I see a blowout. Reggie Ball is running like a poor man's Vince Young (right down to some grimace-inducing passes) and Maryland's run defense is one of the worst in the country.

LSU +2 at FLORIDA
LSU should have beaten Auburn on the road except for Auburn's defense. Florida's defense is not Auburn's defense.

Virginia +6.5 at EAST CAROLINA
Mrs Johnnymac's alma mater was good to me last week, so I'll roll with the Wahoos one more time. I especially like what they've done with their freshman quarterback.


Other teams I like this week (but didn't pick for this post): GEORGIA (getting points at home and contrary to seemingly everyon else on the internet), Purdue, Baylor, Oklahoma St, Oregon

Pro:
(Lots of large home favorites this week)

St Louis -3 at GREEN BAY
Marc Bulger is beginning to get comfortable and the Packers are terrible. I like this one for value.

Washington +5 at NEW YORK GIANTS
Portis is healthy, Moss is definitely healthy, and I just don't feel good about the Giants defense this year. They will give up points.

SAN FRANCISCO -3.5 vs Oakland
Oakland is 0-3 vs the spread this year and won't get better. (As is Miami, but I don't like this week's matchup)

Dallas +2 at PHILADELPHIA
I think T.O. will outscore the Eagles by himself. Yes, this game is meaningful to the Eagles, too, but I will go with T.O. before I'll roll with Donovan McNabb in a meaningful game.

Baltimore -4 at DENVER
I like this one a lot. The Baltimore defense will shut down the Broncos. I was iffy on the ravens last week versus San Diego, but they showed me something then and I'm gonna stay with them until they let me down.

ESPN Suicide Pick: INDIANAPOLIS
Other teams I like this week (but didn't pick for this post): Detroit, NEW ORLEANS

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