Posted by Johnnymac 12:23 PM
Week 7 Football Wrapup

First, Vegas. Click on the image below to see the full size screen cap of my football spreadsheet from this week. These are all of the actual wagers I made while in Vegas this weekend.



I have to say that two of my picks were piggybacks off of the picks that my brother sent me on Friday night to wager for him on Saturday. He sent me 7 picks and then wanted all 7 on one parlay card and then a subset of 4 on another card. Unfortunately, the Miami/FIU brawl- errr, game, wasn't on the parlay card at the Venetian, so we removed Miami and just made it a 6 team card. In all, he wanted 9 total bets made at $10 each. So what did he do? He hit all 9 and turned his $90 into $583.50 by the end of the day. My brother is the man - that's not bad for an honest days work.

For the record, I also liked Cal, Florida St, and Wake myself, before I even went to Vegas, I poached Rutgers and Hawaii from my brother, and I also picked Wisconsin, Missouri, Auburn, and both bets on Texas. Bert's other winning picks were Miami and South Florida. I got 5/6 on my own 6 teamer and should have included Hawaii or Texas instead of Army and I would have had a better day than he did, save the Aggies being a really strong home dog.

Perhaps the best gambling moment on Saturday came when Texas went for the fake field goal late in the first half and only up by 11 points. The second best was Robert Killebrew running the fumble for a TD with 5 minutes left in the game and only up by 25. If Baylor doesn't turn the ball over, they probably would have scored with 2 minutes left and then Mack sits on the ball and runs out the clock.

Also, watching Auburn beat Florida inside the Sportsbook was great. It was probably 60/40 really loud Florida fans all day long and they sure were quiet when the game was over.

As far as the pros go, it figures that Oakland chooses to cover for the first time all year on the weekend I'm in Vegas. It also figures that the Jets score in the first quarter for the first time this year and manage to take a 3-0 lead into halftime when I actually have an "educated" bet on the halftime score. Damn.

Season Wagering Results:

College: 17-7-1 68% +$269
Pro: 11-11-0 50% +$81


On to the picks:

College Pickem Pool: 9/19

Snyder Pool: 7-7; 4-1 money picks (CHICAGO! DAMN!)

College Blog Picks: (1-4 this week, 12-11-2 overall)

Missouri -1.5 at TEXAS A&M INCORRECT
Bert warned me off of this one as Aggy seems to be a strong home dog. I listened partially and kept it off of my parlay cards, but I was wrong outright in my feelings about this game.

WISCONSIN -9.5 vs Minnesota CORRECT
Easy pick.

Army +5.5 at CONNECTICUT INCORRECT
(yeah I got nothing to say here)

Iowa State +19.5 at OKLAHOMA INCORRECT
I stayed off of this one by accident - on the Venetian sheet the 12:30 start was grouped with the 4:00 starts and I missed it when I put in my bets early. This was OK because ISU never got rolling and OU won easily.

PENN STATE +7 vs Michigan INCORRECT
I thought missing Manningham would have a bigger effect on the Wolverines.



Pro Blog Picks: (4-1 this week; 11-13-1 overall)

Tennnessee +9.5 at WASHINGTON CORRECT
And I quote:

Vince Young is getting better every week and the Titans are due for a win. I think they win this one outright, too.

ST LOUIS +3.5 vs Seattle CORRECT
Still a correct pick since it took Seattle's last second figgie to win by 1 point, but the Rams got jobbed by the referees here on the false start at the end. They should have won the game outright.

ATLANTA -3 vs NEW YORK GIANTS INCORRECT
Michael Vick is a good (not great) fantasy quarterback. Michael Vick is barely an average reality quarterback.

DETROIT +1 vs Buffalo CORRECT
And I quote again:

I think Detroit gets win #1 this weekend, Roy Williams status notwithstanding. Why? Because Kevin Jones will be the difference here, just like the Bears running game last week.

DALLAS -13.5 vs Houston CORRECT
One more quote:

Carr will get his yards and TD's in the 4th quarter when the Cowboys are up by 28.

OK I was half right.

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