Tuesday, January 29, 2008


Posted by Dr Fro 9:07 PM
And I'm just a sucka with a lump in my throat..(Hey!)..like a chump...

I promised a post about me taking a terrible loss and having *that* look on my face. This is not that post.

On Sunday night we played our league game - 50c-50c rotating NLHE and PLO/8. I lost 500 BBs in 4 hours. That is hard to do.

Given the fact that the stakes are a lot smaller than what I am accustomed to playing, I didn't at first realize that I set a personal record for a loss. The $250 was well, well below my biggest loss, but measured in terms of a multiple of the big blind, it was definitely a record. To put it in perspective, at $2-$5 NL, that would be a loss of $2,500 - a staggering sum to lose. That puts it into perspective! (Yes, for the math to work perfectly, the small blind in our league game would need to have been 20c, but that's nitpicky).

How did it happen? A combination of bad cards, bad beats and bad decisions were to blame, but this fact covers about $160 of the $250 loss: I lost four times to the nut flush, holding the second nut flush. I don't typically draw to the second nut flush (sure, I love draws, but I like winning draws), but in each instance, I was calling because of some other aspect of my hand and I backdoored the flush. That sort of shit just makes you think that I pissed off the gambling gods something fierce and they all just sat up there and conspired just how to really f*** me over real good and hard. Throw in a loss with KK to AA as well. Oh yeah, and there was the bad beat that involved my opponent calling a bet on the flop and the turn with nothing but overs (KQ) and called a (bluffing) bet on the river with nothing but a paired King facing a paired board and three diamonds. Hey, I was telling you on this blog just three weeks ago that the brilliant call is what makes you money, so more power to my opponent for calling down my bluff. But, damn!

By my count we played 78 hands. The first thing to notice is that is unbelievably slow play to cover only 78 hands in 4 hours. The second thing I'd note is how unbelievable it is that I had so many improbable things happen in such a small sampling of hands. The last thing I'd note is that it is absolutely crazy that my worst beat (measured on a scalable basis) happened over such a small number of hands. What are the odds?

My final reflection is that if I can have that terrible of a stretch of luck (and bad decision-making) and only lose $250, I consider myself lucky. Yes, I am the luckiest man on the planet. With luck like this, I just might be broke before the end of the year.



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